Even a cursory look at the March 19 PPV battle between Manny Pacquaio 39 (31)-2-2 and Erik Morales 47 (34)-2 puts the odds in Manny's favor. The basic facts are that Pacquaio destroyed a man that Erik lost twice to and beat him in a way Erik never did only a little over a year ago. Since then Pacquaio's looked stronger than ever, displaying amazing firepower in his draw with Marquez and knockout of 3K Battery (a Thai boxer who sold advertising space in his name). Meanwhile Morales continues to fight at the level that has people calling him one of boxings few true warriors, but what makes him seperate from Manny's latest victims?
If Morales is going to win he's going to have to be smart. He's going to have to study the Marquez fight. In two rounds of watching it you can see how to lose to Pacquaio and how to beat him. When Marquez allowed himself to get absorbed into a brawl he got knocked down repeatedly. When Marquez was able to nuetralize Pacquaio's offense he had him moving backward and was winning rounds.
There's been talk of adjustments that Pacquaio has made to make his arsenal more three dimensional. Working with trainer Freddie Roach, his camp has said to the press that he has a secret weapon they call "Manilla Ice". As a counter psych out the Morales camp should just say "Manilla whatta? yeah we already have a defence for that." Anyway this "secret weapon" is believed to be a right hook, since the southpaw Pacquaio does most of his damage with the left hand and needed to be more diverse to beat Marquez. If Freddie Roach is able to make Manny a more complete fighter, his continuing ascension on the pound for pound lists is assured.
First he has to get through Morales. If Erik has one edge coming into this bout its that he's been training with much tougher sparring partners than Pacquaio. Morales has been working with undefeated Steven Luevano and some other tough competition. Still, Pacquaio was reported to look sharp and powerful at his media event workout. It will be important for Pacquaio to retain his speed and power as he moves up in weight to face the naturally bigger Morales.
Box Chib Now calls it Pacquaio by Decision
Check out the CompuBox analysis